Bank Safety Analysis
Is First State Bank of Van Orin Safe?
First State Bank of Van Orin passes all 5 regulatory safety dimensions, with capital, asset quality, and stress buffers above supervisory concern bands. Analysis based on the Q2 2026 call report.
Compared with Q1 2026, return on assets rose 0.33 percentage points in Q2 2026 to 0.86%, the biggest move on this page. Among 198 Illinois banks, First State Bank of Van Orin sits 15th from the top on CET1 ratio, 26.68% as of Q2 2026. The median for banks in the < $100M asset tier is 19.57% on CET1 ratio. First State Bank of Van Orin sits 7.12 points higher, at 26.68% (Q2 2026). From Q3 2023 to Q2 2026, First State Bank of Van Orin's CET1 ratio ranged between 24.53% (Q2 2024) and 27.43% (Q1 2026) and its Texas ratio ranged between 0.17% (Q4 2025) and 13.10% (Q2 2026). Compared with Q2 2025, First State Bank of Van Orin's CET1 ratio from 26.22% to 26.68%, noncurrent loans to total loans from 0.12% to 0.00%, Texas ratio from 1.77% to 13.10%, return on assets from 0.77% to 0.86% in Q2 2026.
Data as of · sourced from FFIEC call reports. How we update
A relative risk score, not a calibrated probability: it ranks this bank against every other filer. Model AUC 0.988 (v20261005_114304). Trained on credit-driven community-bank failures, it carries little signal for interest-rate or deposit-flight risk, and its accuracy above roughly $10B in assets is not established, so a low score is not evidence of safety. See the methodology. This is not investment advice or a credit rating.
Scorecard by dimension
Peer cohort: banks with under $100M in assets (536 banks) · Industry averages as of Q2 2026.
CET1 of 26.68% sits comfortably above the 6.5% well-capitalized threshold under Prompt Corrective Action and the 7.0% level required once the capital conservation buffer is included.
Tier 1 leverage of 12.40% is above the 5% well-capitalized threshold.
Nonperforming loans at 0.00% are within industry-normal range.
Texas Ratio of 13.1% is well below the 100% historical failure threshold.
Efficiency ratio of 64.9% reflects competitive operating costs (lower is better).
Risk screens
Latest filing (Q2 2026), passing screens included.
| Screen | Value | Trigger | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| CET1 capital ratio supervisory threshold | 26.68% | Flags below 7% | Within range |
| Texas ratio BankRegReports band | 13.10% | Watch at 50%, concern at 100% | Within range |
| Non-performing loan ratio BankRegReports band | 0.00% | Flags at 3% or above | Within range |
| Uninsured deposit share BankRegReports band | — | Watch at 50%, concern at 70% | Not reported |
| Loan-to-deposit ratio BankRegReports band | 34.03% | Flags at 100% or above | Within range |
| Commercial real estate to capital supervisory threshold | 20.12% | Watch at 200%, concern at 300% | Within range |
| Held-to-maturity unrealized loss to equity BankRegReports band | 0.00% | Watch at 10%, concern at 25% | Within range |
Capital ratio: last 12 quarters
| Quarter | CET1 (%) |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 26.68% |
| Q1 2026 | 27.43% |
| Q4 2025 | 27.39% |
| Q3 2025 | 25.83% |
| Q2 2025 | 26.22% |
| Q1 2025 | 24.70% |
| Q4 2024 | 25.06% |
| Q3 2024 | 24.59% |
| Q2 2024 | 24.53% |
| Q1 2024 | 24.78% |
| Q4 2023 | 25.97% |
| Q3 2023 | 26.44% |
Texas Ratio: last 12 quarters
| Quarter | Texas Ratio (%) |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 13.10% |
| Q1 2026 | 7.46% |
| Q4 2025 | 0.17% |
| Q3 2025 | 0.22% |
| Q2 2025 | 1.77% |
| Q1 2025 | 4.60% |
| Q4 2024 | 4.26% |
| Q3 2024 | 4.38% |
| Q2 2024 | 2.17% |
| Q1 2024 | 4.95% |
| Q4 2023 | 2.58% |
| Q3 2023 | 2.11% |
First State Bank of Van Orin by quarter
| Quarter end | CET1 | Noncurrent loans | Texas ratio | ROA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2026 | 26.68% | 0.00% | 13.10% | 0.86% |
| Mar 31, 2026 | 27.43% | 0.00% | 7.46% | 0.53% |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 27.39% | 0.06% | 0.17% | 0.27% |
| Sep 30, 2025 | 25.83% | 0.00% | 0.22% | 0.67% |
| Jun 30, 2025 | 26.22% | 0.12% | 1.77% | 0.77% |
| Mar 31, 2025 | 24.70% | 0.00% | 4.60% | 0.57% |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 25.06% | 0.00% | 4.26% | 0.61% |
| Sep 30, 2024 | 24.59% | 0.13% | 4.38% | 0.41% |
| Jun 30, 2024 | 24.53% | 0.14% | 2.17% | 0.88% |
| Mar 31, 2024 | 24.78% | 0.38% | 4.95% | 0.98% |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 25.97% | 0.45% | 2.58% | 0.38% |
| Sep 30, 2023 | 26.44% | 0.46% | 2.11% | 0.60% |
Banks with a similar risk profile
4 banks in the same asset tier with the same overall verdict.
Frequently asked
Is First State Bank of Van Orin FDIC insured?
Yes. First State Bank of Van Orin is an FDIC-insured commercial bank (FDIC Certificate #10809). Customer deposits are protected up to the standard FDIC insurance limit of $250,000 per depositor, per ownership category.
Is First State Bank of Van Orin well capitalized?
Yes. First State Bank of Van Orin reports a CET1 Ratio of 26.68%, comfortably above the regulatory well-capitalized threshold that its primary federal regulator, the FDIC, applies under Prompt Corrective Action.
What is First State Bank of Van Orin's nonperforming loan ratio?
As of the most recent call report, First State Bank of Van Orin's nonperforming loan ratio is 0.00%. Nonperforming loans at 0.00% are within industry-normal range.
What is First State Bank of Van Orin's Texas Ratio?
First State Bank of Van Orin's Texas Ratio is 13.10%. It compares nonperforming assets with tangible equity plus reserves; above 100% has historically signaled elevated failure risk.
How safe is my money at any FDIC-insured bank?
FDIC insurance covers up to $250,000 per depositor, per insured bank, per ownership category. If an insured bank fails, the FDIC typically pays insured depositors within one business day.
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Methodology & disclaimer
Based on the latest FFIEC call report. Model output is an estimate, not a credit rating, and this page is not investment advice. FDIC insurance covers deposits up to $250,000 per depositor per ownership category at any FDIC-insured bank, whatever its safety profile. See the methodology and full profile.
Regulator records: FDIC BankFind (cert 10809) · FFIEC NIC profile (RSSD 472148)
Explore: Full First State Bank of Van Orin profile · Other banks in IL · Metric glossary · How the call report works