Bank Safety Analysis
Is Arlington State Bank Safe?
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Arlington State Bank is outside the pass range on 1 of 5 safety dimensions: operating efficiency. Capital and leverage are above their regulatory minimums. The failed band is a BankRegReports band, not a supervisory threshold. Analysis based on the Q2 2026 call report.
The standout move of Q2 2026 was in nonperforming loan ratio (nonaccrual plus 90+ days past due): 2.06 percentage points higher than in Q1 2026, at 2.12%. Within Minnesota, Arlington State Bank is 22nd of 162 on CET1 ratio, 23.17% as of Q2 2026. The median for banks in the < $100M asset tier is 19.96% on CET1 ratio. Arlington State Bank sits 3.21 points higher, at 23.17% (Q2 2026). From Q3 2023 to Q2 2026, Arlington State Bank's CET1 ratio ranged between 22.73% (Q1 2026) and 25.91% (Q1 2025) and its Texas ratio ranged between 0.13% (Q4 2025) and 144.82% (Q3 2023). Between Q2 2025 and Q2 2026, Arlington State Bank's CET1 ratio fell from 25.23% to 23.17%, nonperforming loan ratio (nonaccrual plus 90+ days past due) rose from 0.07% to 2.12%, Texas ratio rose from 0.39% to 11.55% and return on assets fell from 0.45% to 0.12%.
Data as of · sourced from FFIEC call reports. How we update
An exploratory screening score that ranks relative failure risk across filers. It is not a calibrated probability, not a credit rating, and not a CAMELS rating. Held-out test AUC 0.904 for the 1-year horizon (v20261005_114304). Trained on credit-driven community-bank failures, it carries little signal for interest-rate or deposit-flight risk. The score covers every FDIC-insured bank in the latest run, but the model was trained on community and regional banks and its accuracy above roughly $10 billion in assets is not established, so a low score is not evidence of safety. See the model evidence and limits and the methodology. This is not investment advice or a credit rating.
Scorecard by dimension
Peer cohort: banks with under $100M in assets (578 banks) · Industry averages as of Q2 2026.
CET1 of 23.17% sits comfortably above the 6.5% well-capitalized threshold under Prompt Corrective Action and the 7.0% level required once the capital conservation buffer is included.
Tier 1 leverage of 10.13% is above the 5% well-capitalized threshold.
Nonperforming loans at 2.12% are elevated; merits closer attention.
Texas Ratio of 11.6% is well below the 100% historical failure threshold.
Efficiency ratio of 94.3% suggests significant cost-to-revenue challenges.
Risk screens
Latest filing (Q2 2026), passing screens included.
| Screen | Value | Trigger | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| CET1 capital ratio supervisory threshold | 23.17% | Flags below 7% | Within range |
| Texas ratio BankRegReports band | 11.55% | Watch at 50%, concern at 100% | Within range |
| Non-performing loan ratio BankRegReports band | 2.12% | Flags at 3% or above | Within range |
| Uninsured deposit share BankRegReports band | — | Watch at 50%, concern at 70% | Not reported |
| Loan-to-deposit ratio BankRegReports band | 37.90% | Flags at 100% or above | Within range |
| Commercial real estate to capital supervisory threshold | 35.91% | Watch at 200%, concern at 300% | Within range |
| Held-to-maturity unrealized loss to equity BankRegReports band | 0.00% | Watch at 10%, concern at 25% | Within range |
Capital ratio: last 12 quarters
| Quarter | CET1 (%) |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 23.17% |
| Q1 2026 | 22.73% |
| Q4 2025 | 23.41% |
| Q3 2025 | 23.93% |
| Q2 2025 | 25.23% |
| Q1 2025 | 25.91% |
| Q4 2024 | 24.38% |
| Q3 2024 | 24.72% |
| Q2 2024 | 24.44% |
| Q1 2024 | 23.96% |
| Q4 2023 | 22.96% |
| Q3 2023 | 23.05% |
Texas Ratio: last 12 quarters
| Quarter | Texas Ratio (%) |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 11.55% |
| Q1 2026 | 0.32% |
| Q4 2025 | 0.13% |
| Q3 2025 | 0.80% |
| Q2 2025 | 0.39% |
| Q1 2025 | 0.37% |
| Q4 2024 | 0.21% |
| Q3 2024 | 0.40% |
| Q2 2024 | 1.07% |
| Q1 2024 | 0.29% |
| Q4 2023 | 42.01% |
| Q3 2023 | 144.82% |
Arlington State Bank by quarter
| Quarter end | CET1 | NPL ratio | Texas ratio | ROA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2026 | 23.17% | 2.12% | 11.55% | 0.12% |
| Mar 31, 2026 | 22.73% | 0.05% | 0.32% | 0.15% |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 23.41% | 0.03% | 0.13% | 0.28% |
| Sep 30, 2025 | 23.93% | 0.14% | 0.80% | 0.07% |
| Jun 30, 2025 | 25.23% | 0.07% | 0.39% | 0.45% |
| Mar 31, 2025 | 25.91% | 0.06% | 0.37% | 0.56% |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 24.38% | 0.03% | 0.21% | 0.27% |
| Sep 30, 2024 | 24.72% | 0.07% | 0.40% | 0.13% |
| Jun 30, 2024 | 24.44% | 0.12% | 1.07% | 0.32% |
| Mar 31, 2024 | 23.96% | 0.03% | 0.29% | 0.30% |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 22.96% | 5.26% | 42.01% | 0.17% |
| Sep 30, 2023 | 23.05% | 6.02% | 144.82% | 0.72% |
Banks with a similar risk profile
4 banks in the same asset tier with the same overall verdict.
Frequently asked
Is Arlington State Bank FDIC insured?
Yes. Arlington State Bank is an FDIC-insured commercial bank (FDIC Certificate #1391). Customer deposits are protected up to the standard FDIC insurance limit of $250,000 per depositor, per ownership category.
Is Arlington State Bank well capitalized?
Yes. Arlington State Bank reports a CET1 Ratio of 23.17%, comfortably above the regulatory well-capitalized threshold that its primary federal regulator, the FDIC, applies under Prompt Corrective Action.
What is Arlington State Bank's nonperforming loan ratio?
As of the most recent call report, Arlington State Bank's nonperforming loan ratio is 2.12%. Nonperforming loans at 2.12% are elevated; merits closer attention.
What is Arlington State Bank's Texas Ratio?
Arlington State Bank's Texas Ratio is 11.55%. It compares nonperforming assets with tangible equity plus reserves; above 100% has historically signaled elevated failure risk.
How safe is my money at any FDIC-insured bank?
FDIC insurance covers up to $250,000 per depositor, per insured bank, per ownership category. If an insured bank fails, the FDIC typically pays insured depositors within one business day.
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Methodology & disclaimer
Based on the latest FFIEC call report. Model output is an estimate, not a credit rating, and this page is not investment advice. FDIC insurance covers deposits up to $250,000 per depositor per ownership category at any FDIC-insured bank, whatever its safety profile. See the methodology and full profile.
Regulator records: FDIC BankFind (cert 1391) · FFIEC NIC profile (RSSD 270353)
Explore: Full Arlington State Bank profile · Other banks in MN · Metric glossary · How the call report works